Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.000785 0.000896 0.001013 0.001147 0.001293 0.001450 0.001628
2025-01-26 0.000620 0.000776 0.000952 0.001165 0.001413 0.001691 0.002026
2025-02-02 0.000537 0.000714 0.000924 0.001186 0.001504 0.001872 0.002328
2025-02-09 0.000454 0.000639 0.000868 0.001166 0.001539 0.001983 0.002548
2025-02-16 0.000387 0.000576 0.000818 0.001143 0.001561 0.002073 0.002738
2025-02-23 0.000348 0.000542 0.000800 0.001156 0.001626 0.002213 0.002990
2025-03-02 0.000312 0.000510 0.000780 0.001164 0.001681 0.002340 0.003226
2025-03-09 0.000269 0.000462 0.000734 0.001132 0.001680 0.002393 0.003367
2025-03-16 0.000232 0.000419 0.000691 0.001099 0.001675 0.002437 0.003496
2025-03-23 0.000209 0.000393 0.000671 0.001097 0.001710 0.002533 0.003693
2025-03-30 0.000189 0.000371 0.000653 0.001096 0.001745 0.002629 0.003891
2025-04-06 0.000168 0.000346 0.000630 0.001085 0.001763 0.002702 0.004058
2025-04-13 0.000148 0.000319 0.000601 0.001065 0.001769 0.002759 0.004206
2025-04-20 0.000138 0.000310 0.000601 0.001088 0.001839 0.002906 0.004482
2025-04-27 0.000128 0.000300 0.000598 0.001106 0.001901 0.003044 0.004747
2025-05-04 0.000113 0.000278 0.000573 0.001088 0.001907 0.003100 0.004899
2025-05-11 0.000099 0.000257 0.000547 0.001065 0.001905 0.003144 0.005032
2025-05-18 0.000092 0.000248 0.000543 0.001078 0.001957 0.003268 0.005281
2025-05-25 0.000085 0.000238 0.000535 0.001085 0.002000 0.003379 0.005514
2025-06-01 0.000073 0.000218 0.000507 0.001055 0.001982 0.003398 0.005612
2025-06-08 0.000063 0.000199 0.000480 0.001024 0.001962 0.003411 0.005701
2025-06-15 0.000057 0.000189 0.000469 0.001022 0.001988 0.003495 0.005896
2025-06-22 0.000052 0.000180 0.000459 0.001021 0.002015 0.003581 0.006096